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First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

17.12%

increased by 0.59%

1 Week

17.28%

increased by 0.75%

1 Month

17.78%

increased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

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graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0408
2.91***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9414
71.36***
γleverage0.0655
2.53**

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0408
2.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9414
71.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0655
2.53**

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days