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First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

14.77%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

15.08%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

16.06%

increased by 1.20%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0410
2.91***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9412
71.04***
γleverage0.0657
2.53**

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0410
2.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9412
71.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0657
2.53**

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days