First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
15.65%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
15.90%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
16.72%
increased by 0.94%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0418 | 11.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9410 | 281.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0654 | 10.09*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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