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V-Lab

First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.59%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

15.11%

increased by 0.42%

1 Month

16.85%

increased by 2.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0468
13.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0916
11.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8550
177.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0707
4.52***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days