V-Lab
First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.59%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
15.11%
increased by 0.42%
1 Month
16.85%
increased by 2.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0468 | 13.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0916 | 11.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8550 | 177.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0707 | 4.52*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
Other First Trust India Nifty 50 Equ Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on ETFs