iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
2.40%
increased by 0.76%
1 Week
2.40%
increased by 0.76%
1 Month
2.41%
increased by 0.77%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 10.33 | |
| 0.1566 | 37.91 | |
| 0.8577 | 324.65 | |
| -0.0286 | -4.37 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Jun 12, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Jun 12, 2026
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