iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, April 14th, 2026
1 Day
3.02%
increased by 1.20%
1 Week
3.02%
increased by 1.20%
1 Month
3.03%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Monday, April 13, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 11.00 | |
| 0.0594 | 34.38 | |
| 0.9406 | 556.57 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Apr 10, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Apr 10, 2026
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