iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, March 2nd, 2026:1.40% (+0.09%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9303 | 3.42 | |
| 0.0724 | 6.42 | |
| 0.9041 | 66.14 | |
| -0.4193 | -2.22 | |
| 0.8354 | 2.90 | |
| -0.8499 | -3.51 | |
| 0.4687 | 2.16 | |
| 0.3320 | 2.02 | |
| -0.5900 | -3.57 | |
| -0.0180 | -0.09 | |
| 0.9077 | 4.10 | |
| -1.1431 | -4.57 | |
| 0.5490 | 3.18 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 27, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 27, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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