iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 11th, 2026
1 Day
1.66%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
1.68%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
1.74%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 8, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9367 | 3.53 | |
| 0.0719 | 6.32 | |
| 0.9024 | 61.92 | |
| -0.3964 | -2.21 | |
| 0.8027 | 2.97 | |
| -0.8482 | -3.78 | |
| 0.5074 | 2.47 | |
| 0.2769 | 1.76 | |
| -0.5732 | -3.73 | |
| 0.0395 | 0.23 | |
| 0.7979 | 4.22 | |
| -1.0655 | -5.03 | |
| 0.5363 | 3.40 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to May 8, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to May 8, 2026
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