V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.82%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
3.22%
increased by 0.06%
1 Month
3.40%
increased by 0.24%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9331 | 7.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2967 | 2.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2198 | 1.20 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0126 | -0.22 |
Persistence:
0.516
Half-life:
1 days
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