Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
3.46%
decreased by 0.57%
1 Week
3.96%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
4.11%
increased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9005 | 4.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3218 | 2.36** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0107 | 0.10 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0541 | -0.62 |
Persistence:
0.332
Half-life:
1 days
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