V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
3.40%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
3.89%
increased by 0.50%
1 Month
4.04%
increased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9167 | 4.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3181 | 2.37** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0138 | 0.12 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0415 | -0.50 |
Persistence:
0.332
Half-life:
1 days
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