V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.85%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
3.25%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
3.43%
increased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9390 | 7.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2963 | 2.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2207 | 1.21 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0040 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.517
Half-life:
1 days
Other Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs