Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

2.99%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

3.15%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

3.36%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 5.20 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run0.0482
2.35**
αscore0.1375
1.82*
βpersistence0.8094
7.79***
νDF5.2013
0.52

0.809

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

0.0482
2.35**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1375
1.82*
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8094
7.79***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2013
0.52

Persistence:

0.809

Half-life:

3 days