V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.68%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
3.15%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
3.37%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.40 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0469 | 13.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2509 | 5.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5253 | 18.01*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.4046 | 2.47** |
Persistence:
0.525
Half-life:
1 days
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