V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
3.08%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
3.63%
increased by 0.50%
1 Month
3.86%
increased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.76 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0614 | 8.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2322 | 4.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5016 | 11.60*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.7565 | 3.28*** |
Persistence:
0.502
Half-life:
1 days
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