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Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

2.81%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

3.21%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

3.38%

increased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.16 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-lifev = 5.16 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0470
3.27***
αARCH0.2376
1.38
βGARCH0.5146
4.44***
νDF5.1571
0.61

0.515

Persistence

1d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0470
3.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2376
1.38
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5146
4.44***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.1571
0.61

Persistence:

0.515

Half-life:

1 days