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V-Lab

Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

2.68%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

3.15%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

3.37%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.40 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0469
13.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2509
5.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5253
18.01***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4046
2.47**

Persistence:

0.525

Half-life:

1 days