V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.84%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
2.99%
increased by 0.06%
1 Month
3.33%
increased by 0.40%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.27) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0644 | 5.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8503 | 45.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2699 | 9.04*** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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