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V-Lab

Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

2.65%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

2.81%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

3.24%

increased by 0.52%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. The volatility power δ = 1.79 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0046
3.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0607
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8473
45.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
0.00
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7944
8.97***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days