V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.66%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
2.82%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
3.24%
increased by 0.52%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0034 | 7.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8398 | 49.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2103 | 5.44*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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