Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
3.69%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
3.70%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
3.73%
decreased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0034 | 1.83* |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8498 | 13.33*** |
| γleverage | 0.1795 | 1.36 |
0.940
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0034 | 1.83* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8498 | 13.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1795 | 1.36 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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