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V-Lab

BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

6.17%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

6.35%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

6.96%

increased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0067
7.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0426
6.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8529
98.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1792
6.13***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days