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BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5.03%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

5.27%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

6.06%

increased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0065
7.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0431
6.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8550
100.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1731
5.97***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days