V-Lab
BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
5.03%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
5.27%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
6.06%
increased by 0.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0065 | 7.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0431 | 6.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8550 | 100.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1731 | 5.97*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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