V-Lab
BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
4.87%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
4.95%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
5.18%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7343 | 5.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1296 | 1.71* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8173 | 9.41*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0906 | 4.00*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs