V-Lab
TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
14.91%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
15.45%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
16.15%
increased by 1.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0303 | 11.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0915 | 1.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7107 | 4.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0058 | 0.40 |
Persistence:
0.802
Half-life:
3 days
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