V-Lab
TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
13.76%
increased by 0.88%
1 Week
14.09%
increased by 1.21%
1 Month
14.52%
increased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8547 | 8.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0973 | 1.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6979 | 4.04*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.2793 | -1.99** |
| γ2 | 0.3679 | 2.04** |
Persistence:
0.795
Half-life:
3 days
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