V-Lab
TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
17.87%
increased by 4.22%
1 Week
16.86%
increased by 3.21%
1 Month
15.41%
increased by 1.76%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8573 | 8.88*** |
| αARCH | 0.0957 | 1.61 |
| βGARCH | 0.7068 | 4.24*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.2789 | -2.05** |
| γ2 | 0.3695 | 2.12** |
0.802
Persistence3d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8573 | 8.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0957 | 1.61 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7068 | 4.24*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.2789 | -2.05** |
| γ2 | 0.3695 | 2.12** |
Persistence:
0.802
Half-life:
3 days
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