TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
15.84%
decreased by 0.77%
1 Week
15.44%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Month
14.87%
decreased by 1.74%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8648 | 9.04*** |
| αARCH | 0.0912 | 1.61 |
| βGARCH | 0.7124 | 4.28*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.2564 | -2.01** |
| γ2 | 0.3405 | 2.08** |
0.804
Persistence3d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8648 | 9.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0912 | 1.61 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7124 | 4.28*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.2564 | -2.01** |
| γ2 | 0.3405 | 2.08** |
Persistence:
0.804
Half-life:
3 days
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