V-Lab
TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
18.60%
increased by 3.55%
1 Week
18.09%
increased by 3.04%
1 Month
17.25%
increased by 2.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1800 | 1.46 |
| αARCH | 0.0946 | 0.96 |
| βGARCH | 0.7464 | 4.89*** |
| γleverage | -0.0081 | -0.06 |
0.837
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1800 | 1.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0946 | 0.96 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7464 | 4.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0081 | -0.06 |
Persistence:
0.837
Half-life:
4 days
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