TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
17.11%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Week
16.98%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Month
16.76%
decreased by 0.93%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1781 | 1.45 |
| αARCH | 0.0956 | 0.97 |
| βGARCH | 0.7485 | 4.90*** |
| γleverage | -0.0130 | -0.10 |
0.838
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1781 | 1.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0956 | 0.97 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7485 | 4.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0130 | -0.10 |
Persistence:
0.838
Half-life:
4 days
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