TrueShares Eagle Global Next Gen Power Infrastructure ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
15.22%
increased by 0.39%
1 Week
15.62%
increased by 0.79%
1 Month
16.23%
increased by 1.40%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1821 | 1.47 |
| αARCH | 0.0874 | 1.64 |
| βGARCH | 0.7461 | 4.89*** |
0.834
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1821 | 1.47 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0874 | 1.64 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7461 | 4.89*** |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
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