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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

30.31%

increased by 0.41%

1 Week

30.34%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

30.45%

increased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0659
18.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0777
27.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9052
290.70***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days