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V-Lab

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

30.01%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

29.72%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

28.66%

decreased by 1.45%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2013 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0372
17.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1506
33.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8290
180.65***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days