V-Lab
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
30.01%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
29.72%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Month
28.66%
decreased by 1.45%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2013 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0372 | 17.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1506 | 33.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8290 | 180.65*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
Other iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on ETFs