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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

17.70%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

18.32%

increased by 0.02%

1 Month

20.36%

increased by 2.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0692
5.60***
αARCH0.0993
7.09***
βGARCH0.8814
68.09***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0692
5.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0993
7.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8814
68.09***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days