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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

16.43%

increased by 0.07%

1 Week

16.69%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

17.66%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 78 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0270
20.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0836
34.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9076
369.09***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

78 days