V-Lab
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
16.94%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
17.21%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
18.23%
increased by 1.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 135% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0179 | 9.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1610 | 34.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9837 | 1,232.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0649 | -16.48*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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