V-Lab
iShares MSCI Germany ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
16.12%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
16.40%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
17.47%
increased by 1.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 213% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0184 | 7.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1564 | 34.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9798 | 900.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0807 | -21.15*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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