Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Germany ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

16.12%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

16.40%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

17.47%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Germany ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 213% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0184
7.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1564
34.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9798
900.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0807
-21.15***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days