iShares MSCI Canada ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
13.33%
increased by 2.25%
1 Week
13.56%
increased by 2.48%
1 Month
14.44%
increased by 3.36%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0116 | 4.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1335 | 36.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9836 | 966.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0909 | -27.72*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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