V-Lab
iShares MSCI Canada ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
11.78%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
12.18%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
13.58%
increased by 1.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 79% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0260 | 25.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1478 | 40.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8395 | 255.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1471 | 18.68*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9560 | 43.65*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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