V-Lab
iShares MSCI Canada ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
11.16%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
11.65%
increased by 0.22%
1 Month
12.79%
increased by 1.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8257 | 165.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1745 | 38.28*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0060 | 4.85*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0507 | 5.80*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9462 | 101.94*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
Other iShares MSCI Canada ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs