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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Canada ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11.16%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

11.65%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

12.79%

increased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Canada ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8257
165.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1745
38.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0060
4.85***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0507
5.80***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9462
101.94***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days