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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Canada ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

13.22%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

13.36%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

13.96%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Canada ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8252
46.73***
γleverage0.1750
9.41***
λ₁tau intercept0.0060
1.58
λ₂forecast adj.0.0507
3.22***
λ₃tau persistence0.9462
55.22***

0.913

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8252
46.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1750
9.41***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0060
1.58
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0507
3.22***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9462
55.22***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days