V-Lab
Innovator Growth-100 Dual Directional 5 Buffer ETF - Quarterly MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
17.91%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
19.98%
increased by 2.07%
1 Month
20.51%
increased by 2.60%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 65.91*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.6969 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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