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V-Lab

Innovator Growth-100 Dual Directional 5 Buffer ETF - Quarterly MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

17.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

19.98%

increased by 2.07%

1 Month

20.51%

increased by 2.60%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Innovator Growth-100 Dual Directional 5 Buffer ETF - Quarterly MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
65.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.6969
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days