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V-Lab

Innovator Growth-100 Dual Directional 5 Buffer ETF - Quarterly MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

13.12%

increased by 0.22%

1 Week

13.61%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

15.52%

increased by 2.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Innovator Growth-100 Dual Directional 5 Buffer ETF - Quarterly MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9661
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0769
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1991
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8009
0.00

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days