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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

15.23%

increased by 0.19%

1 Week

15.68%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

17.13%

increased by 2.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0250
8.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8560
246.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1132
27.31***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2776
5.99***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8486
13.71***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days