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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

12.87%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

13.55%

increased by 0.83%

1 Month

15.27%

increased by 2.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 17, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow81
αARCH0.0243
1.86*
βGARCH0.8576
63.89***
γleverage0.1141
6.54***
λ₁tau intercept0.2755
2.80***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8486
10.83***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.939

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0243
1.86*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8576
63.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1141
6.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2755
2.80***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8486
10.83***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days