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Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

230.39%

increased by 1.20%

1 Week

231.99%

increased by 2.80%

1 Month

236.32%

increased by 7.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.0262
βGARCH0.9090
γleverage-0.0261
λ₁tau intercept9.9963
λ₂forecast adj.0.0500
λ₃tau persistence0.9313

0.922

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0262
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9090
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0261
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9963
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0500
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9313

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days