V-Lab
Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4.07%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
4.13%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
4.32%
increased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0395 | 0.15 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0395 | -0.14 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0058 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2340 | 0.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7660 | 0.09 |
Persistence:
0.020
Half-life:
0 days
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