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V-Lab

Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

4.07%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

4.13%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

4.32%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0395
0.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0395
-0.14
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0058
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2340
0.10
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7660
0.09

Persistence:

0.020

Half-life:

0 days