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V-Lab

Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

6.76%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

6.82%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

6.83%

increased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow86
αARCH0.0680
10.60***
βGARCH0.0001
0.00
γleverage-0.0680
-5.50***
λ₁tau intercept0.1854
74.47***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.034

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0680
10.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0001
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0680
-5.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1854
74.47***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.034

Half-life:

0 days