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Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

10.99%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

12.26%

increased by 1.10%

1 Month

12.58%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
6.75***
λ₁tau intercept0.3699
13.89***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.4208
6.29***

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
6.75***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3699
13.89***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4208
6.29***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days