V-Lab
Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
4.24%
1 Week
3.99%
1 Month
3.42%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0328 | 0.82 |
| αARCH | 0.1211 | 2.40** |
| βGARCH | 0.8219 | 13.08*** |
| γleverage | 0.3606 | 1.51 |
| δpower | 0.5000 | 1.10 |
0.920
Persistence8d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0328 | 0.82 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1211 | 2.40** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8219 | 13.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3606 | 1.51 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 1.10 |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
Other Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on ETFs