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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

128.90%

increased by 14.13%

1 Week

124.84%

increased by 10.07%

1 Month

121.93%

increased by 7.16%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
4.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0829
5.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5893
10.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.0000
-714.28***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
5.21***

Persistence:

0.638

Half-life:

2 days