Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
58.29%
decreased by 12.58%
1 Week
61.40%
decreased by 9.47%
1 Month
71.83%
increased by 0.96%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1840 | 0.26 |
| αARCH | -0.1919 | -1.26 |
| βGARCH | 0.9498 | 8.77*** |
| γleverage | 0.1523 | 1.43 |
0.950
Persistence13d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1840 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.1919 | -1.26 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9498 | 8.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1523 | 1.43 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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