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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

58.29%

decreased by 12.58%

1 Week

61.40%

decreased by 9.47%

1 Month

71.83%

increased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1840
0.26
αARCH-0.1919
-1.26
βGARCH0.9498
8.77***
γleverage0.1523
1.43

0.950

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1840
0.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.1919
-1.26
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9498
8.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1523
1.43

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days