Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
113.30%
decreased by 8.12%
1 Week
110.08%
decreased by 11.34%
1 Month
109.62%
decreased by 11.80%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.22** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.0126 | -0.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | -0.2947 | -0.77 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2594 | 5.16*** |
Persistence:
-0.295
Half-life:
-
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