Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
11.34%
increased by 0.83%
1 Week
11.59%
increased by 1.08%
1 Month
12.06%
increased by 1.55%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1855), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0682 | -3.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1464 | 4.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8615 | 37.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1855 | -6.81*** |
Persistence:
0.862
Half-life:
5 days
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