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V-Lab

Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

11.34%

increased by 0.83%

1 Week

11.59%

increased by 1.08%

1 Month

12.06%

increased by 1.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1855), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0682
-3.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1464
4.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8615
37.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1855
-6.81***

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days