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V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

22.24%

increased by 2.13%

1 Week

21.97%

increased by 1.86%

1 Month

21.09%

increased by 0.98%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 61% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0056
1.86*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1970
21.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9727
375.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0461
4.55***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days