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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

26.71%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

27.00%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

28.09%

increased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 215% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0289
6.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1225
25.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9828
660.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0634
-15.83***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days