V-Lab
iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
26.71%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
27.00%
decreased by 0.69%
1 Month
28.09%
increased by 0.40%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 14, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 215% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0289 | 6.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1225 | 25.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9828 | 660.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0634 | -15.83*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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