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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

30.37%

increased by 1.85%

1 Week

30.51%

increased by 1.99%

1 Month

31.07%

increased by 2.55%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~123 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0384
0.87
αARCH0.0990
4.36***
βGARCH0.8953
40.02***

0.994

Persistence

123d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0384
0.87
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0990
4.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8953
40.02***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

123 days