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iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

35.76%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

37.76%

increased by 1.48%

1 Month

42.50%

increased by 6.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:51 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7700
23.49***
γleverage0.1586
5.73***
λ₁tau intercept0.0893
2.02**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0778
3.12***
λ₃tau persistence0.9034
27.07***

0.849

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7700
23.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1586
5.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0893
2.02**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0778
3.12***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9034
27.07***

Persistence:

0.849

Half-life:

4 days