Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

22.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

24.21%

increased by 1.62%

1 Month

27.15%

increased by 4.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7649
22.49***
γleverage0.1592
5.46***
λ₁tau intercept0.1193
1.64
λ₂forecast adj.0.1149
2.22**
λ₃tau persistence0.8594
12.83***

0.845

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7649
22.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1592
5.46***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1193
1.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1149
2.22**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8594
12.83***

Persistence:

0.845

Half-life:

4 days