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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

194.08%

decreased by 1.84%

1 Week

215.10%

increased by 19.18%

1 Month

220.61%

increased by 24.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:16 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.0049
1.18
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
26.49***
λ₁tau intercept196.1049

0.255

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0049
1.18
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
26.49***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

196.1049

Persistence:

0.255

Half-life:

1 days