Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
243.71%
decreased by 7.24%
1 Week
248.82%
decreased by 2.13%
1 Month
268.31%
increased by 17.36%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0000 | 0.73 | |
| 0.1539 | 4.12 | |
| 0.9231 | 48.68 | |
| -0.1539 | -3.90 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 2, 2026
Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 2, 2026
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