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V-Lab

Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

3.10%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

3.17%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

3.43%

increased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 351 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 273% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0010
11.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0441
4.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8938
93.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1204
18.10***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

351 days