Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
39.76%
decreased by 4.35%
1 Week
38.81%
decreased by 5.30%
1 Month
35.70%
decreased by 8.41%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 102% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0955 | 21.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1266 | 13.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7688 | 130.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1297 | 8.26*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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