Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
10.62%
increased by 1.27%
1 Week
10.78%
increased by 1.43%
1 Month
11.36%
increased by 2.01%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1648 trading days (~6.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 55% more than positive returns
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0066 | 7.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1301 | 6.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8339 | 55.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0712 | 2.98*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1648 days
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