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V-Lab

Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

10.62%

increased by 1.27%

1 Week

10.78%

increased by 1.43%

1 Month

11.36%

increased by 2.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1648 trading days (~6.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 55% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0066
7.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1301
6.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8339
55.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0712
2.98***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1648 days