V-Lab
Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
10.38%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
11.08%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
11.99%
increased by 1.28%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6678 | 20.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2181 | 8.38*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5063 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2184 | 0.11 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.777
Half-life:
3 days
Other Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs