Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
10.96%
increased by 0.23%
1 Week
11.38%
increased by 0.65%
1 Month
11.91%
increased by 1.18%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1175 | 6.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6908 | 19.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2204 | 3.14*** |
Persistence:
0.801
Half-life:
3 days
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