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V-Lab

Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

10.26%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

10.90%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

11.72%

increased by 1.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1147
6.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6947
19.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2184
3.16***

Persistence:

0.804

Half-life:

3 days