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Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

14.25%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

14.28%

increased by 0.03%

1 Month

14.37%

increased by 0.12%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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6M ·

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graph of Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0397
1.52
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9415
16.88***
γleverage0.0231
0.14

0.953

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0397
1.52
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9415
16.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0231
0.14

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days