V-Lab
Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
18.56%
decreased by 0.78%
1 Week
18.75%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Month
19.41%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 1999 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0306 | 18.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0250 | 6.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8989 | 356.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1277 | 18.57*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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