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V-Lab

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

18.56%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

18.75%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

19.41%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1999 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0306
18.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0250
6.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8989
356.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1277
18.57***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days