Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
26.26%
decreased by 1.12%
1 Week
26.23%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Month
26.13%
decreased by 1.25%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0305 | 18.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0252 | 6.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8990 | 357.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1272 | 18.43*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
Other Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs