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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

22.51%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

22.58%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Month

22.82%

decreased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1999 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0308
4.61***
αARCH0.0247
1.61
βGARCH0.8987
89.27***
γleverage0.1283
4.70***

0.988

Persistence

56d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0308
4.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0247
1.61
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8987
89.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1283
4.70***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days