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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

45.89%

decreased by 1.57%

1 Week

45.51%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Month

44.07%

decreased by 3.39%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1999 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0310
4.61***
αARCH0.0245
1.58
βGARCH0.8983
89.07***
γleverage0.1302
4.74***

0.988

Persistence

57d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0310
4.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0245
1.58
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8983
89.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1302
4.74***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days