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V-Lab

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

23.85%

decreased by 1.38%

1 Week

23.93%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Month

24.22%

decreased by 1.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.71) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0960
38.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8860
351.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7114
17.28***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days