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V-Lab

iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

2.70%

increased by 2.26%

1 Week

2.64%

increased by 2.20%

1 Month

2.43%

increased by 1.99%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.25
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0635
5.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9145
190.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0071
-1.23

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days