iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 20th, 2026
1 Day
5.19%
increased by 4.71%
1 Week
5.19%
increased by 4.71%
1 Month
5.19%
increased by 4.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 17, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 0.0471 | 6.64 | |
| 0.9529 | 281.52 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Apr 17, 2026
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