iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
0.57%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
106,052.45%
increased by 106,051.87%
1 Month
1,588,076,950,276,654,200,000,000,000.00%
increased by 1,588,076,950,276,654,200,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.8180 | 8,180,090.00 | |
| 0.4320 | 4,319,910.00 | |
| -0.5000 | -5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to May 22, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to May 22, 2026
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