iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
0.44%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
0.65%
increased by 0.10%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 12, 2026 at 11:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0101 | 100,980.00 | |
| -0.0202 | -201,770.00 | |
| 0.1130 | 61.91 | |
| 0.0795 | 70.24 | |
| 0.8630 | 276.42 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Jun 12, 2026
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