iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 29th, 2026
1 Day
0.01%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
0.01%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
0.01%
decreased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.7922 | 7,921,830.00 | |
| 0.4578 | 4,578,170.00 | |
| -0.5000 | -5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Apr 24, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Apr 24, 2026
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