iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
0.00%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
0.02%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Month
0.03%
decreased by 0.69%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 10.0000 | 100,000,000.00 | |
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Jul 2, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Jul 2, 2026
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