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V-Lab

Ishares S&P 500 EX S&P 1 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

10.38%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

10.38%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

10.38%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ishares S&P 500 EX S&P 1 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow106
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0000
0.00
λ₁tau intercept0.4277
6.94***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.000

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4277
6.94***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

0 days